On October 20, 2025, NBCC’s Chief Programs Officer Michelle Tregear submitted the following letter to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in response to its Draft Guidance for Industry: Approaches to Assessment of Overall Survival in Oncology Clinical Trials (August 2025).
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
5630 Fishers Lane, Rm. 1061
Rockville, MD 20852
Docket Number: FDA-2024-D-5850
Issued by: Oncology Center of Excellence
To Whom It May Concern:
The National Breast Cancer Coalition (NBCC) appreciates the opportunity to comment on the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) Draft Guidance for Industry: Approaches to Assessment of Overall Survival in Oncology Clinical Trials (August 2025).
NBCC is a grassroots advocacy organization representing tens of thousands of advocates, researchers, and survivors across the United States and internationally. Since our founding in 1991, NBCC’s mission has been to end breast cancer through the power of action and advocacy—ensuring that research, policy, and regulation serve patients’ real needs and reflect sound scientific and ethical principles.
We commend FDA for its continuing efforts to strengthen oncology trial integrity and ensure that drug approvals are based on clinically meaningful outcomes. However, several aspects of this draft guidance would benefit from revision to ensure that patient protection, ethical conduct, and true clinical benefit remain at the center of regulatory decision-making.
The draft guidance recommends limiting protocol-specified crossover because it can complicate interpretation of overall survival (OS). While we recognize the statistical challenges crossover introduces, NBCC believes that crossover should be required—not limited—when a therapy has already demonstrated efficacy in a later-line setting and is being studied in an earlier line of treatment.
In such cases, denying patients on the control arm access to a therapy already proven to extend or improve life is inconsistent with modern standards of ethical research and clinical practice. Trial participants should never be disadvantaged relative to patients outside the trial.
We therefore recommend the following revision to Section III.A:
The guidance frames OS largely as a safety measure when it is not the primary endpoint. NBCC urges FDA to reaffirm that OS remains the gold standard measure of benefit in oncology.
Labeling OS primarily as a safety assessment, risks encouraging sponsors to rely excessively on unvalidated surrogate endpoints such as response rate or progression-free survival (PFS), which often fail to predict real patient benefit.
Recommendation:
The draft guidance directs sponsors to pre-specify thresholds for “clinically relevant harm” but provides no mechanism for incorporating patient perspectives into these determinations.
NBCC believes this is a critical omission. What constitutes an acceptable degree of harm or uncertainty must reflect patient and advocate input, not purely statistical convention. Acceptability of risk depends on disease context, treatment goals, and quality-of-life trade-offs—dimensions best understood through direct engagement with patients and advocates.
Recommendation:
While the guidance acknowledges instances where surrogate endpoints (e.g., PFS, MRD, response rate) have failed to align with OS, it does not go far enough in discouraging their overuse.
NBCC has repeatedly called attention to the problem of uninformative trials and approvals based on unvalidated surrogates that do not translate into better survival or quality of life. The final guidance should make explicit that surrogate endpoints may justify accelerated approval but cannot substitute for OS in traditional approval decisions without robust validation.
Recommendation:
The guidance is written exclusively from a sponsor-statistician perspective. It omits reference to the role of trained patient advocates in shaping the statistical analysis plan (SAP), endpoint prioritization, or harm assessment.
This omission conflicts with the spirit of the 21st Century Cures Act and FDA’s Patient-Focused Drug Development (PFDD) framework. Trained patient advocates must have a meaningful role in defining outcomes that matter to patients, interpreting risk, and determining whether observed differences in OS are clinically meaningful.
Recommendation:
NBCC supports FDA’s commitment to strengthening oncology trial evaluation and to ensuring that new drugs provide real, measurable benefit to patients. However, to achieve a truly patient-centered regulatory framework, the final guidance should include our above-described recommendations.
By adopting these recommendations, FDA will strengthen scientific credibility while ensuring that oncology research and drug approvals remain ethically grounded and centered on the outcomes that matter most to patients: living longer and living better.